← All Letters 2026-07-07 13:11:16

the automatic Social Security cut

The automatic Social Security cut coming in 2032 applies to everyone counting on that check, and it happens whether Congress votes or not.

The June 2026 Trustees Report moved the date up.

The retirement trust fund now runs dry in late 2032, about six years out.

The day that fund empties, every check drops to 78 cents on the dollar on its own.

Nobody has to vote for that to happen.

Congress has to pass something to stop it.

The default is the cut.

What it costs. The average retired worker's check is about $2,071 a month. A 22% cut takes roughly $456 of that, about $5,470 a year, gone without a single vote.

The tempting move after a headline like this is to claim early at 62 to beat the cut. It doesn't work.

The reduction applies to checks already being paid, so filing early doesn't grandfather you out of anything. You lock in a permanently smaller check for life and still take the 22% cut on top of it.

So here's what to do. Pull your benefit estimate at ssa.gov, multiply it by 0.78, and rerun your plan on that number. If it still works at 78 cents, the headlines lose their grip on you, and whatever Congress does becomes upside.

I've been investing for about 20 years, and it taught me to build my own plan so it holds up even when a check I'm counting on shows up light.

You don't have to replace the whole benefit. Covering a $456 gap is a much smaller job than funding a retirement.

As promised, income over wealth in under a minute.

- Dan
Illustration for this letter

PS: The full breakdown of the 2032 cut

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