You've watched the balance grow for 30 years and it finally says $1.5 million. The question is whether you can retire at 60 with $1.5 million and spend $10,000 a month. The money sits in a 401(k), an IRA, and a Roth, and Social Security doesn't start for another two years, or another ten if you want to maximize it. Right now the portfolio is the entire plan.
Retirement planning software and most advisors call this a near miss. Spending $10,000 a month on $1.5 million is an 8% withdrawal rate, roughly twice what researchers say is sustainable over a 30 year retirement. So either the math is wrong or the approach is wrong. I'd argue it's the approach.
Why $10,000 a Month Breaks the Standard Plan
The standard advisor answer is to optimize your allocations and sell shares every month to cover your lifestyle, then hope the market cooperates for the three to seven years until Social Security kicks in. If it doesn't, you spend the rest of retirement watching the balance shrink and wondering whether you should go back to work at 68. That's a wish with a spreadsheet attached to it.
What breaks is the mechanics of turning that money into monthly income. Every share sold at the bottom is one that can't participate in the recovery. A couple who retired in January 2008 with $1.5 million and spent $5,000 a month watched their portfolio fall to $900,000 by December while they kept withdrawing. A 4% withdrawal had become 7%. When the market recovered they owned fewer shares to recover with, and that portfolio never fully caught back up. Run the same drop at $10,000 a month and you're pulling 13% a year.
Taxes make it worse. For a married couple in 2026, withdrawing $120,000 a year from a 401(k) or traditional IRA leaves closer to $110,000. To have $10,000 a month actually spendable you need to withdraw around $132,000 a year, which pushes the rate closer to 9%.
Assets That Pay You to Hold Them
Here's the reframe. What if the portfolio paid you $10,000 a month without you selling anything? Instead of owning shares you whittle down, you own assets that pay you to hold them. The payments are contractual, so they arrive at the same size whether the market is up 30% or down 30%, and the principal keeps working for the entire bridge to Social Security.
Start with bonds. When you buy one, you're lending money to a government or a company. They make you coupon payments at a fixed rate, usually twice a year, and return your principal on the maturity date. A 10 year US Treasury currently yields 4.3% and a 30 year yields 4.9%. Investment grade corporate bonds, from companies like Apple, Google, or Johnson & Johnson, pay between 5 and 5.5%.
Most retirees build a ladder, buying a stack of bonds that mature in successive years. As each matures you reinvest at whatever rates prevail then, buying maturity dates rather than guessing where rates go. Put $200,000 into a ladder averaging 4.8% and it pays $9,600 a year, or $800 a month.
Multi-Year Guaranteed Annuities
The second asset is a multi-year guaranteed annuity, or MYGA. A MYGA isn't a variable annuity, an indexed annuity, or an immediate annuity where you hand over a lump sum and lose access to the principal forever. It's functionally a CD issued by an insurance company. You hand them a lump sum, they pay a fixed rate for a term of three, five, or seven years, and at the end you take your principal plus the interest or roll it into a new one.
A three year MYGA currently pays 5 to 5.2%, a five year pays 5.3 to 5.5%, and a seven year runs around 5.4 to 5.6%. The rate locks in no matter what the market does, and the value doesn't fluctuate. The limitation is liquidity, since you can't pull the money out early without surrender charges. MYGAs also make no periodic payments, so it all comes out at the end. Time the maturities to land when you'll spend the money. Put $400,000 into MYGAs with three and five year maturities averaging 5.3% and you get $21,200 a year, an average of $1,767 a month.
Secured Mortgage Notes
The third asset is one many retirees don't know is available to them. A mortgage note is a loan backed by a specific piece of property, the same document you signed when you bought a home with a bank loan, except here you're the lender rather than the borrower. You sign a mortgage securing your interest against the property and a promissory note detailing the payment structure, the interest rate, and the length of the loan. You want first position, the same as a bank would, because that means you get paid back before anyone else if the property has to be sold.
Privately originated first position notes typically yield between 7 and 10%, depending on the property, the borrower's track record, the loan to value ratio, and the terms. Specific deal terms generally aren't disclosed publicly because of securities laws, though the asset class itself is public information you can research. Payments come every month, and terms run from five to 30 years.
You can't buy these through a brokerage account. They come from the operators who originate them or from platforms that offer them, and doing it safely means a conservative loan to value ratio, a title company or attorney recording the mortgage, and your attorney reviewing the paperwork. You can hold them inside a self-directed IRA, traditional or Roth. At an average of 9%, $700,000 produces $63,000 a year, or $5,250 a month.
What the Portfolio Actually Pays
The last $200,000 stays liquid in a high yield savings account, yielding around 4%, or about $667 a month. Add that to the $800 from bonds, the $1,767 from MYGAs, and the $5,250 from notes and the couple collects $8,484 a month from $1.5 million, regardless of what the S&P 500 is doing. Nothing gets sold at a loss, and sequence of returns risk doesn't show up anywhere in the plan.
That's 85% of the goal, so they're $1,500 a month short until Social Security starts. A consulting day a week might cover it, or they could spend $1,500 a month less for two or three years. They could also take it from cash, a $36,000 hit over two years.
Social Security Closes the Last $1,500
The claiming strategy here runs counter to a lot of generic advice. The lower earner claims first. If Jennifer, the lower earner here, claims at 62, her reduced benefit is $1,500 to $1,600 a month, and her check alone closes the gap. That lets Michael, the higher earner, delay. They've already reached their income target, so he can wait all the way to 70 and take 124% of his full retirement age benefit, which also increases Jennifer's monthly amount.
The main reason to do it this way is the surviving spouse rule. When one spouse dies, the survivor keeps one check, the larger one. If Jennifer greatly outlives Michael, every dollar added to his benefit keeps paying her for another 10 or 20 years after he's gone.
At 67, Michael's benefit might be around $3,230 a month, and waiting until 70 puts it closer to $4,000. Household Social Security then runs $4,800 to $5,600 a month, and with the $8,500 still coming in from the portfolio they're at $13,000 to $14,000 a month. That's $3,000 to $4,000 of cushion, and the $1.5 million is still there working for them. The market can have whatever kind of year it wants to have. This couple is going out for tacos anyway.